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The Context
The downward revision marks a sharp deceleration from prior projections, with Cuba’s energy crisis and Haiti’s security collapse now measurable drags on ECLAC’s aggregate regional GDP. Both economies face structural contraction, not cyclical slowdown—Haiti’s formal economy has shrunk for three consecutive years.
The Takeaway
CFOs with Caribbean supply-chain exposure should model for extended volatility. The revision signals that regional growth will undershoot peer emerging markets through 2026, tightening access to dollar credit for Latin American subsidiaries and joint ventures.
Source: Haitilibre